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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Antrim weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Antrim today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 15°, with a 87% chance of rain.

19°15°
15°11°
14°10°
16°10°
16°11°
15°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
15°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 77%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 96%

Latest for Antrim: Met Office (UKMO model): 15° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 14° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Antrim and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Rain
17°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±2°
Wed
Drizzle
16°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
15°
±2°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±3°

Antrim is a small town of about 20,000 people in Northern Ireland, sitting at 54.7°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Antrim with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Randalstown, Crumlin, Ballyclare.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Antrim?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C95±1.5 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
73
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C92±2.6 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±2%75% to 77% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree15° to 16°±16%71% to 87% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±2%80% to 82% chance
Wed±1°16° to 16°±8%18% to 26% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°±23%45% to 68% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Antrim

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
20:05
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Antrim today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Antrim today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Antrim today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Antrim and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Antrim?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Antrim (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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