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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAVarsity
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Varsity weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Varsity's high today between 10° and 12°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 13°, with a 76% chance of rain.

11°
13°
13°10°
19°
23°
18°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±12°
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Drizzle
Today 11°·Low ·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Light drizzle
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 38%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Varsity and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
13°
models agree
Mon
Showers
13° 10°
±2°
Tue
Rain
19°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
23°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
18°
±12°
Fri
Light drizzle
11°
±8°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
11°
±2°
Sun
Clear
20°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
20°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
19°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
18°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±6°

Varsity is a small town of about 12,000 people in Alberta, sitting at 51.1°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Varsity with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Bowness, Brentwood, Dalhousie.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Varsity?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.6 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
76±1.4°C94±3.0 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C91±4.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 12°±60%38% to 98% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree13° to 14°±21%55% to 76% chance
Mon±2°12° to 15°±12%57% to 69% chance
Tue±5°16° to 22°±13%48% to 61% chance
Wed±2°23° to 25°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Varsity

today, local time
Sunrise
06:56
Sunset
20:13
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Varsity today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Varsity today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Varsity today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Varsity and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Varsity?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Varsity (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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