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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Varsity weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Varsity today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 1°, with a 71% chance of rain.

2°-4°
1°-4°
3°-6°
5°-4°
0°-5°
0°-6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-3°
Mainly clear
Feels -8° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
-4°
Overcast
Feels -8° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-3°
Overcast
Feels -7° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Varsity: Env. Canada (GEM model): -3° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): -4° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): -3° Overcast.

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Varsity weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Varsity swings 37°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -14°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 446 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-14°C average low
Wettest month
June
446 mm a year
Below freezing
7 months
January, February, March, April, October, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Varsity and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Varsity hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Varsity 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
2° -4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light snow
1° -4°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
3° -6°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
5° -4°
models agree
Wed
Light snow
0° -5°
±4°
Thu
Snow
0° -6°
±5°
Fri
Light snow
0° -6°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
4° -8°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
8° -4°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
7° -2°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
8° -2°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
9° -1°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
11° 2°
±8°

Varsity, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 446 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Varsity right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Varsity climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-4°
-14°
Feb
0°
-11°
Mar
3°
-9°
Apr
10°
-3°
May
16°
2°
Jun
19°
6°
Jul
23°
9°
Aug
23°
9°
Sep
18°
5°
Oct
11°
-1°
Nov
2°
-7°
Dec
-3°
-11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Varsity has changed since 1995

Varsity sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Calgary. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Calgary page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Varsity?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.7 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C95±2.4 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C90±5.1 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°2° to 3°±36%19% to 55% chance
Tomorrow±1°0° to 1°±22%49% to 71% chance
Mon±3°2° to 5°±12%2% to 14% chance
Tue±1°4° to 5°±25%9% to 34% chance
Wed±4°-2° to 2°±11%33% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Varsity

today, local time
Sunrise
08:15
Sunset
18:24
Daylight
10h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Varsity today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Varsity today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 1°, with a 71% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Varsity today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Varsity on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 71%, European 55%, American 49%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 55%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Varsity?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Varsity (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Varsity?
July is typically the warmest month in Varsity, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Varsity get?
The coldest month in Varsity is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Varsity get?
Varsity sees roughly 446 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather