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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Val-des-Sources weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Val-des-Sources today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain.

11°-2°
14°0°
10°1°
4°-3°
6°-4°
13°0°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-1°
Clear
Feels -5° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
2°
Clear
Feels -1° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
0°
Clear
Feels -3° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 84%

Latest for Val-des-Sources: Env. Canada (GEM model): -1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 2° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 0° Clear.

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Val-des-Sources weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Val-des-Sources swings 38°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -15°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1276 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-15°C average low
Wettest month
August
1276 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
7,088
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Val-des-Sources and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Val-des-Sources hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Val-des-Sources 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11° -2°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14° 0°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 1°
±3°
Tue
Clear
4° -3°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
6° -4°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
13° 0°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
10° 1°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
15° 3°
±7°
Mon
Light rain
12° 5°
±11°
Tue
Light rain
13° 3°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
7° -1°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
4° -2°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
4° -3°
±6°

Val-des-Sources, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1276 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Val-des-Sources right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Val-des-Sources climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-7°
-14°
Feb
-4°
-15°
Mar
1°
-8°
Apr
10°
-2°
May
18°
6°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
23°
15°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
19°
10°
Oct
11°
3°
Nov
4°
-3°
Dec
-3°
-11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Val-des-Sources has changed since 1995

Val-des-Sources sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Victoriaville. That square ran 1.1°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Victoriaville page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Val-des-Sources?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C92±4.0 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
91
/100rank #2
95±0.3°C98±0.9 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C96±1.9 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°9° to 12°±55%20% to 75% chance
Tue±1°4° to 5°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±1°6° to 6°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Val-des-Sources

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
10h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Val-des-Sources today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Val-des-Sources today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Val-des-Sources today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Val-des-Sources on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Val-des-Sources?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Val-des-Sources (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Val-des-Sources?
July is typically the warmest month in Val-des-Sources, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Val-des-Sources get?
The coldest month in Val-des-Sources is February, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Val-des-Sources get?
Val-des-Sources sees roughly 1276 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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