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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

University weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in University today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain.

14°5°
16°6°
16°9°
9°4°
12°7°
19°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
4°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 99%
EuropeanECMWF
7°
Clear
Feels 5° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
7°
Clear
Feels 4° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 89%

Latest for University: Env. Canada (GEM model): 4° Clear · European (ECMWF): 7° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 7° Clear.

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University weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

University swings 32°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -8°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 882 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-8°C average low
Wettest month
August
882 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
7,607
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around University and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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University hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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University 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 6°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
16° 9°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9° 4°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
12° 7°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
19° 9°
±2°
Fri
Clear
16° 8°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
15° 9°
±5°
Sun
Showers
17° 11°
±2°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
16° 8°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 5°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 3°
models agree

University, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -8°C), with roughly 882 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for University right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

University climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-7°
Feb
1°
-8°
Mar
4°
-4°
Apr
10°
1°
May
16°
7°
Jun
21°
13°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
13°
6°
Nov
7°
0°
Dec
2°
-3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around University has changed since 1995

University sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Toronto. That square ran 2.1°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Toronto page.

Which forecast is most accurate in University?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±2.4 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.2 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C80±9.8 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tuemodels agree9° to 9°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±3°11° to 13°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in University

today, local time
Sunrise
07:43
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in University today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in University today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in University today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in University on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for University?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for University (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in University?
July is typically the warmest month in University, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does University get?
The coldest month in University is February, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does University get?
University sees roughly 882 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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