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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CASaint-Jerome
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Saint-Jerome weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Saint-Jerome's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 24°, with a 5% chance of rain.

22°12°
24°14°
21°13°
21°14°
22°13°
18°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 60%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Mainly clear
Feels 15° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 73%

Latest for Saint-Jerome: Env. Canada (GEM model): 17° Clear · European (ECMWF): 16° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Saint-Jerome and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
24° 14°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Showers
21° 14°
models agree
Thu
Showers
22° 13°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Sat
Showers
22° 10°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 13°
±10°
Mon
Clear
19° 10°
±6°
Tue
Mostly clear
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Clear
20° 10°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
20° 11°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
18°
±3°

Saint-Jerome, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -13°C), with roughly 1206 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Saint-Jerome right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Saint-Jerome climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-11°
Feb
-1°
-13°
Mar
-5°
Apr
12°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-1°
-8°

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint-Jerome?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.3 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C94±2.8 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±23%6% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±3°23° to 26°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±1°21° to 22°±21%8% to 29% chance
Wed±1°20° to 21°±13%75% to 88% chance
Thu±5°20° to 24°±8%67% to 75% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint-Jerome

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint-Jerome today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Saint-Jerome today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saint-Jerome today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Saint-Jerome and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint-Jerome?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint-Jerome (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint-Jerome?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint-Jerome, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Saint-Jerome get?
The coldest month in Saint-Jerome is February, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Saint-Jerome get?
Saint-Jerome sees roughly 1206 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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