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Saint-Georges weekend weather

This weekend in Saint-Georges, Quebec, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 27° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day. Rain chance reaches 82% on at least one model.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
Env. CanadaGEM model
26°
Light drizzle
High 26°·Low 14°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Light drizzle
High 27°·Low 14°·Rain 47%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Cloudy
High 30°·Low 15°·Rain 37%

The models range from 26° to 30°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Heavy drizzle
High 25°·Low 18°·Rain 57%
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Drizzle
High 29°·Low 20°·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
29°
Cloudy
High 29°·Low 17°·Rain 81%

The models range from 25° to 29°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±46%28% to 74% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 26°±10%14% to 24% chance
Sat±4°26° to 30°±14%33% to 47% chance
Sun±4°25° to 29°±25%57% to 82% chance
Mon±8°22° to 30°±18%64% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
At least one model puts the weekend rain chance as high as 82%. Weekend forecasts sit far enough ahead that models frequently disagree on showers — when they do, no single app can honestly tell you it will or will not rain.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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