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CheckWeather CANotre-Dame-de-Grace
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Notre-Dame-de-Grace weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Notre-Dame-de-Grace's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 10% chance of rain.

22°12°
24°14°
21°15°
22°15°
22°15°
18°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 13°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Notre-Dame-de-Grace and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 15°
±3°
Wed
Showers
22° 15°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
22° 15°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Showers
23° 13°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
24° 15°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 13°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
19° 10°
±4°

Notre-Dame-de-Grace is a town of about 68,000 people in Quebec, sitting at 45.5°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Notre-Dame-de-Grace with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Westmount, Saint-Henri, Snowdon.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Notre-Dame-de-Grace?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.4 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #2
68±1.8°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C97±1.3 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±35%5% to 40% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±3°20° to 22°±20%11% to 31% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±6%82% to 88% chance
Thu±4°20° to 24°±10%73% to 83% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Notre-Dame-de-Grace

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Notre-Dame-de-Grace today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Notre-Dame-de-Grace today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Notre-Dame-de-Grace today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Notre-Dame-de-Grace and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Notre-Dame-de-Grace?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Notre-Dame-de-Grace (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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