New Toronto weather
Loading live data…Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in New Toronto today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around New Toronto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitNew Toronto is a small town of about 11,000 people in Ontario, sitting at 43.6°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast New Toronto with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Mimico, Long Branch, Alderwood.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
Which forecast is most accurate in New Toronto?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.