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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAMorinville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Morinville weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Morinville today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 18°, with a 38% chance of rain.

13°
18°11°
16°10°
21°10°
21°11°
16°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low 10°·Rain 43%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Drizzle
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 32%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Morinville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 10°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
21° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16° 10°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
13°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
19°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±7°

Morinville, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 569 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Morinville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Morinville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
-14°
Feb
-4°
-12°
Mar
-3°
-11°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
18°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
22°
12°
Sep
18°
Oct
Nov
-6°
Dec
-2°
-9°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morinville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±3.0 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C93±3.5 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C93±3.4 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°±60%32% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±19%19% to 38% chance
Mon±1°15° to 17°±30%25% to 55% chance
Tue±1°20° to 21°±13%12% to 25% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±24%0% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morinville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
20:15
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morinville today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Morinville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morinville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Morinville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morinville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Morinville (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morinville?
July is typically the warmest month in Morinville, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Morinville get?
The coldest month in Morinville is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Morinville get?
Morinville sees roughly 569 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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