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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAMoose Jaw
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Moose Jaw weather

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Cloudy,thunder likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 27° in Moose Jaw today. Tomorrow looks heavy showers around 24°, with a 81% chance of rain.

27°14°
24°17°
20°15°
17°12°
23°12°
23°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±9°
Env. CanadaGEM model
28°
Cloudy
Today 28°·Low 14°·Rain 17%
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Mostly clear
Today 27°·Low 15°·Rain 33%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Fog
Today 26°·Low 13°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Moose Jaw and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
27° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy showers
24° 17°
models agree
Mon
Heavy showers
20° 15°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
17° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 13°
±9°
Fri
Clear
17° 11°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
14°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
19°
±13°
Mon
Partly cloudy
22°
±6°
Tue
Clear
22°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 11°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree

Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -12°C), with roughly 396 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Moose Jaw right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Moose Jaw climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
-12°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-1°
-12°
Apr
11°
-1°
May
19°
Jun
23°
12°
Jul
27°
15°
Aug
26°
14°
Sep
24°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-1°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Moose Jaw?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C98±1.0 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
72±1.6°C95±2.6 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C94±3.0 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°26° to 28°±25%8% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±49%32% to 81% chance
Mon±1°19° to 20°±9%86% to 95% chance
Tue±3°16° to 19°±11%67% to 78% chance
Wed±3°22° to 25°±16%8% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Moose Jaw

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Moose Jaw today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Moose Jaw today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Moose Jaw today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Moose Jaw and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moose Jaw?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moose Jaw (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Moose Jaw?
July is typically the warmest month in Moose Jaw, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Moose Jaw get?
The coldest month in Moose Jaw is January, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Moose Jaw get?
Moose Jaw sees roughly 396 mm of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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