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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Mont-Tremblant weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Mont-Tremblant today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 8% chance of rain.

13°0°
14°2°
11°1°
5°-3°
7°-3°
12°2°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
2°
Clear
Feels -1° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 76%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 56%
AmericanNOAA GFS
0°
Clear
Feels -3° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 61%

Latest for Mont-Tremblant: Env. Canada (GEM model): 2° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 0° Clear.

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Mont-Tremblant weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mont-Tremblant swings 38°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1177 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
June
1177 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
8,892
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Mont-Tremblant and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mont-Tremblant hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mont-Tremblant 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
13° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14° 2°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 1°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
5° -3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
7° -3°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
12° 2°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
10° 4°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
10° 2°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
14° 4°
±4°
Mon
Rain
11° 7°
±8°
Tue
Drizzle
10° 1°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
3° -1°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
5° -1°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
4° -3°
±4°

Mont-Tremblant, Quebec (often shortened to Tremblant) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1177 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Mont-Tremblant right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Mont-Tremblant climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-8°
-15°
Feb
-5°
-15°
Mar
-1°
-9°
Apr
9°
-2°
May
17°
5°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
23°
15°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
19°
9°
Oct
11°
3°
Nov
4°
-3°
Dec
-4°
-11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Mont-Tremblant has changed since 1995

Mont-Tremblant sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sainte-Adele. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Sainte-Adele page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mont-Tremblant?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.5 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C95±2.5 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C94±3.1 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree12° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±8%0% to 8% chance
Mon±2°10° to 12°±63%10% to 73% chance
Tue±1°5° to 6°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°7° to 8°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mont-Tremblant

today, local time
Sunrise
07:28
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
10h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mont-Tremblant today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Mont-Tremblant today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 8% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mont-Tremblant today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Mont-Tremblant on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 8% (Env. Canada 0%, European 2%, American 8%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mont-Tremblant?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mont-Tremblant (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mont-Tremblant?
July is typically the warmest month in Mont-Tremblant, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Mont-Tremblant get?
The coldest month in Mont-Tremblant is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Mont-Tremblant get?
Mont-Tremblant sees roughly 1177 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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