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CheckWeather CAMont-Royal
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Mont-Royal weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Mont-Royal's high today between 20° and 25°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 24°, with a 6% chance of rain.

22°13°
24°14°
21°15°
22°15°
23°16°
18°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 24%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Fog
Today 20°·Low 12°·Rain 4%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Mont-Royal and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 13°
±4°
Tomorrow
Clear
24° 14°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 15°
±2°
Wed
Showers
22° 15°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
23° 16°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Showers
23° 13°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
24° 15°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
±6°
Tue
Mostly clear
18° 13°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 13°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
19° 11°
±3°

Mont-Royal, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1229 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Mont-Royal right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Mont-Royal climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-9°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
15°
Jul
27°
19°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
22°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mont-Royal?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C97±1.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
64±2.0°C93±3.4 km/t9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C97±1.6 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°20° to 25°±20%4% to 24% chance
Tomorrow±3°23° to 26°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±2°20° to 23°±20%11% to 31% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±10%81% to 91% chance
Thu±4°21° to 25°±8%73% to 81% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mont-Royal

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mont-Royal today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Mont-Royal today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mont-Royal today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Mont-Royal and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mont-Royal?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mont-Royal (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mont-Royal?
July is typically the warmest month in Mont-Royal, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Mont-Royal get?
The coldest month in Mont-Royal is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Mont-Royal get?
Mont-Royal sees roughly 1229 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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