Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 3°C
Merritt weather
Loading live data…
Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Merritt's high today between 6° and 9°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.
Merritt swings 35°C across the year, from 27°C highs in August to -8°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 273 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
August
27°C average high
Coldest month
January
-8°C average low
Wettest month
December
273 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
7,139
share this forecast
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Merritt and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Merritt hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Merritt 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
7°1°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
9°2°
±6°
Mon
Partly cloudy
10°2°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
9°2°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
6°1°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
5°-2°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
4°-5°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
4°-6°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
7°-4°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
8°-1°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
8°-1°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
9°1°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
10°4°
models agree
Merritt, British Columbia is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -8°C), with roughly 273 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Merritt right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
1°
-8°
Feb
4°
-5°
Mar
10°
-3°
Apr
12°
1°
May
18°
4°
Jun
21°
7°
Jul
26°
10°
Aug
27°
10°
Sep
20°
7°
Oct
12°
2°
Nov
6°
-2°
Dec
0°
-7°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Merritt's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C
Around Merritt, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004. 4 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2015.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
9 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
12 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.1°C
−12
−1
+0%
1996
−1.9°C
−0
+8
+0%
1997
−0.3°C
−13
−3
+0%
1998
+0.8°C
+3
−7
−5%
1999
−0.7°C
−14
+26
+5%
2000
−1.3°C
−15
+13
−5%
2001
−0.8°C
−6
+16
+0%
2002
−0.3°C
−3
+7
+0%
2003
+0.4°C
+4
−1
+0%
2004
+0.8°C
+12
−7
−5%
2005
+0.4°C
−5
−21
+0%
2006
+0.4°C
+15
−2
+5%
2007
−0.3°C
−8
+6
+5%
2008
−0.9°C
−4
+10
+0%
2009
−0.5°C
+17
+18
+0%
2010
−0.3°C
−8
+5
+0%
2011
−0.9°C
−11
+7
+5%
2012
−0.2°C
+1
+0
+0%
2013
±0.0°C
−3
+1
−5%
2014
+0.4°C
+1
−16
+0%
2015
+1.6°C
+7
−14
−5%
2016
+0.6°C
−4
−23
+0%
2017
−0.5°C
+8
+7
+0%
2018
+0.3°C
+5
−8
+0%
2019
±0.0°C
−4
−3
−5%
2020
+0.1°C
−9
−5
+11%
2021
+0.1°C
+15
−5
+5%
2022
+0.2°C
+7
−1
+0%
2023
+1.1°C
+13
−17
−5%
2024
+0.4°C
+12
−3
+0%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Merritt, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Merritt?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C
94±2.9 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
78
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C
88±6.2 km/h
6581% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C
95±2.6 km/h
7184% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±3°6° to 9°
±54%46% to 100% chance
Tomorrow
±6°7° to 13°
±33%67% to 100% chance
Mon
±1°9° to 11°
±57%14% to 71% chance
Tue
±4°8° to 11°
±27%16% to 43% chance
Wed
±5°3° to 8°
±5%42% to 47% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Merritt
today, local time
Sunrise
07:40
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
10h 13m
Common questions
What's the weather in Merritt today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Merritt's high today between 6° and 9°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Merritt today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Merritt on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 67% (Env. Canada 100%, European 88%, American 67%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Merritt?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Merritt (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Merritt?
August is typically the warmest month in Merritt, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Merritt get?
The coldest month in Merritt is January, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does Merritt get?
Merritt sees roughly 273 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Merritt getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Merritt, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
