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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Membertou weather

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Snow,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 8° in Membertou today. Tomorrow: clear, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain.

8°3°
14°4°
15°7°
9°2°
6°1°
9°0°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Overcast
Feels -1° · Wind 27 km/h · Humidity 72%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Overcast
Feels 0° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 68%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Partly cloudy
Feels -1° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 73%

Latest for Membertou: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 5° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Partly cloudy.

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Membertou weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Membertou swings 32°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -9°C lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1544 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-9°C average low
Wettest month
December
1544 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, April and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
7,859
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Membertou and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Membertou hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Membertou 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Snow
8° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
14° 4°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
9° 2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
6° 1°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
9° 0°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 5°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
8° 3°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
9° 1°
±3°
Mon
Partly cloudy
13° 4°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
14° 9°
±6°
Wed
Rain
13° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
10° 3°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 1°
±8°

Membertou, Nova Scotia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -9°C), with roughly 1544 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Membertou right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Membertou climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-1°
-7°
Feb
-1°
-9°
Mar
1°
-5°
Apr
6°
-1°
May
13°
4°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
23°
15°
Aug
22°
15°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
14°
7°
Nov
7°
2°
Dec
3°
-3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Membertou has changed since 1995

Membertou sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sydney. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Sydney page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Membertou?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C96±1.8 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.6 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C96±1.9 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°7° to 8°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±30%13% to 43% chance
Tue±1°8° to 9°±33%19% to 52% chance
Wedmodels agree6° to 6°±11%0% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Membertou

today, local time
Sunrise
07:30
Sunset
17:58
Daylight
10h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Membertou today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 8° in Membertou today. Tomorrow: clear, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Membertou today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Membertou on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Membertou?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Membertou (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Membertou?
July is typically the warmest month in Membertou, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Membertou get?
The coldest month in Membertou is February, when overnight lows average about -9°C.
How much rain does Membertou get?
Membertou sees roughly 1544 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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