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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAMelfort
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Melfort weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Melfort today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 71% chance of rain.

24°15°
16°12°
15°11°
15°10°
20°
20°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 16°·Rain 30%
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 73%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 16°·Rain 31%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Melfort and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
24° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 12°
models agree
Mon
Showers
15° 11°
±6°
Tue
Showers
15° 10°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
20° 12°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
15° 10°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
13°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
14°
±4°

Melfort, Saskatchewan is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 484 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Melfort right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Melfort climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-10°
-15°
Feb
-6°
-15°
Mar
-5°
-15°
Apr
-3°
May
18°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
23°
13°
Sep
21°
10°
Oct
Nov
-1°
-7°
Dec
-5°
-12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Melfort?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #2
85±0.9°C96±2.1 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C94±3.1 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±43%30% to 73% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree16° to 16°±33%38% to 71% chance
Mon±6°12° to 17°±9%86% to 95% chance
Tue±3°14° to 17°±5%90% to 95% chance
Wed±2°20° to 21°±10%10% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Melfort

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
13h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Melfort today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Melfort today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Melfort today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Melfort and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Melfort?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Melfort (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Melfort?
July is typically the warmest month in Melfort, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Melfort get?
The coldest month in Melfort is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Melfort get?
Melfort sees roughly 484 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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