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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Kitsilano weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Kitsilano's high today between 9° and 11°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 96% chance of rain.

10°6°
13°8°
13°8°
11°8°
9°6°
8°5°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
6°
Partly cloudy
Feels 4° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 89%
EuropeanECMWF
7°
Light drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
6°
Light drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Kitsilano: Env. Canada (GEM model): 6° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 7° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 6° Light drizzle.

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Kitsilano weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kitsilano swings 21°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to 1°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2085 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 16 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 34 frost nights, and rain on 162 days.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
November
2085 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
43,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
16 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
34 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
162 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kitsilano’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kitsilano and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kitsilano hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kitsilano 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
10° 6°
±2°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
13° 8°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Tue
Showers
11° 8°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9° 6°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 5°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
7° 4°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
10° 5°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
12° 7°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
11° 9°
±3°

Kitsilano, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 2085 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kitsilano right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kitsilano climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
6°
1°
Mar
9°
2°
Apr
11°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
22°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
8°
4°
Dec
5°
1°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kitsilano has changed since 1995

Kitsilano sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Burnaby. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Burnaby page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kitsilano?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C96±2.0 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C91±4.7 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±2.7 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°9° to 11°±27%68% to 95% chance
Tomorrow±3°12° to 15°±36%60% to 96% chance
Mon±2°12° to 14°±39%13% to 52% chance
Tue±1°10° to 11°±48%33% to 81% chance
Wed±1°9° to 10°±12%55% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kitsilano

today, local time
Sunrise
07:48
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
10h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kitsilano today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Kitsilano's high today between 9° and 11°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 96% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kitsilano today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Kitsilano on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 60% (Env. Canada 96%, European 94%, American 60%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 95%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kitsilano?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Kitsilano (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kitsilano?
July is typically the warmest month in Kitsilano, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Kitsilano get?
The coldest month in Kitsilano is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Kitsilano get?
Kitsilano sees roughly 2085 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather