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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kitimat weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Kitimat today. Tomorrow: clear, around 9°, with a 0% chance of rain.

11°3°
9°2°
8°1°
6°1°
7°2°
7°0°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 72%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Overcast
Feels 1° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
4°
Overcast
Feels 1° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 89%

Latest for Kitimat: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 4° Overcast.

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Kitimat weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kitimat swings 26°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -4°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2710 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
-4°C average low
Wettest month
October
2710 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
8,987
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kitimat and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kitimat hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kitimat 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
11° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
9° 2°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
8° 1°
±4°
Tue
Light snow
6° 1°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
7° 2°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
7° 0°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
6° -1°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
5° 1°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
8° 4°
±3°
Mon
Rain
8° 4°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
9° 5°
±4°
Wed
Rain
7° 4°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
7° 5°
±2°

Kitimat, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -4°C), with roughly 2710 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kitimat right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kitimat climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
2°
-3°
Feb
3°
-4°
Mar
8°
-1°
Apr
10°
1°
May
16°
6°
Jun
19°
9°
Jul
22°
11°
Aug
22°
11°
Sep
17°
9°
Oct
10°
4°
Nov
4°
0°
Dec
1°
-3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Kitimat's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Kitimat, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.9°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2004: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2005: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2006: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2008: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2010: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2011: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2013: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2015: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

6 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5 vs the 30-year average1996: +6 vs the 30-year average1997: +1 vs the 30-year average1998: −6 vs the 30-year average1999: +23 vs the 30-year average2000: −1 vs the 30-year average2001: +14 vs the 30-year average2002: −4 vs the 30-year average2003: +5 vs the 30-year average2004: −19 vs the 30-year average2005: −30 vs the 30-year average2006: +12 vs the 30-year average2007: +3 vs the 30-year average2008: +18 vs the 30-year average2009: +22 vs the 30-year average2010: −13 vs the 30-year average2011: +7 vs the 30-year average2012: +25 vs the 30-year average2013: −7 vs the 30-year average2014: −13 vs the 30-year average2015: −22 vs the 30-year average2016: −23 vs the 30-year average2017: +9 vs the 30-year average2018: +1 vs the 30-year average2019: −10 vs the 30-year average2020: +1 vs the 30-year average2021: +9 vs the 30-year average2022: +6 vs the 30-year average2023: −12 vs the 30-year average2024: −7 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: +8% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: −1% vs the 30-year average1999: −1% vs the 30-year average2000: −1% vs the 30-year average2001: +4% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: +4% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +4% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: +4% vs the 30-year average2010: +4% vs the 30-year average2011: +4% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: −11% vs the 30-year average2014: +4% vs the 30-year average2015: −6% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: +4% vs the 30-year average2018: −6% vs the 30-year average2019: −6% vs the 30-year average2020: +4% vs the 30-year average2021: +4% vs the 30-year average2022: +4% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: −6% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.1°C−5−1%
1996−1.9°C+6+8%
1997+0.4°C+1−1%
1998+0.6°C−6−1%
1999−0.1°C+23−1%
2000−0.6°C−1−1%
2001−0.7°C+14+4%
2002−0.1°C−4−1%
2003+0.5°C+5+4%
2004+1.3°C−19−1%
2005+1.0°C−30+4%
2006±0.0°C+12−1%
2007−0.6°C+3−1%
2008−1.1°C+18+4%
2009−0.8°C+22+4%
2010+0.4°C−13+4%
2011−1.3°C+7+4%
2012−0.8°C+25−1%
2013+1.0°C−7−11%
2014+0.4°C−13+4%
2015+1.4°C−22−6%
2016+0.9°C−23−1%
2017−0.8°C+9+4%
2018+0.4°C+1−6%
2019+0.5°C−10−6%
2020−0.3°C+1+4%
2021−0.8°C+9+4%
2022+0.2°C+6+4%
2023+1.3°C−12−6%
2024+0.5°C−7−6%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Kitimat, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kitimat?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.4 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
85±0.9°C96±1.9 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C96±1.8 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°10° to 11°±6%5% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±2°8° to 10°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°7° to 11°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°5° to 8°±45%5% to 50% chance
Wed±1°7° to 8°±5%4% to 9% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kitimat

today, local time
Sunrise
08:20
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
9h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kitimat today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Kitimat today. Tomorrow: clear, around 9°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kitimat today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Kitimat on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 11%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kitimat?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kitimat (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kitimat?
July is typically the warmest month in Kitimat, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Kitimat get?
The coldest month in Kitimat is February, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Kitimat get?
Kitimat sees roughly 2710 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Kitimat getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Kitimat, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather