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Granby weekend weather

This weekend in Granby, Quebec, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 26° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day. Rain chance reaches 89% on at least one model.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
Env. CanadaGEM model
27°
Light drizzle
High 27°·Low 19°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Light drizzle
High 27°·Low 18°·Rain 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
27°
Cloudy
High 27°·Low 17°·Rain 56%

All 3 models land within under a degree of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
Env. CanadaGEM model
26°
Showers
High 26°·Low 20°·Rain 86%
EuropeanECMWF
26°
Rain
High 26°·Low 20°·Rain 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Heavy drizzle
High 26°·Low 20°·Rain 82%

All 3 models land within under a degree of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°25° to 27°±30%15% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±3°26° to 29°±29%10% to 39% chance
Satmodels agree27° to 27°±23%33% to 56% chance
Sunmodels agree26° to 26°±7%82% to 89% chance
Mon±6°20° to 26°±15%68% to 83% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
At least one model puts the weekend rain chance as high as 89%. Weekend forecasts sit far enough ahead that models frequently disagree on showers — when they do, no single app can honestly tell you it will or will not rain.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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