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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Dollard-Des Ormeaux weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Dollard-Des Ormeaux today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

13°0°
15°2°
13°5°
7°1°
8°0°
15°4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Clear
Today 13°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Partly cloudy
Today 12°·Low 4°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Fog
Today 12°·Low -3°·Rain 0%
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Dollard-Des Ormeaux weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dollard-Des Ormeaux swings 38°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -12°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1069 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 61 days a year at 25°C or above, 8 of them at 30°C or above, 138 frost nights, and rain on 143 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
January
-12°C average low
Wettest month
June
1069 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
49,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
61 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
138 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
143 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dollard-Des Ormeaux’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Dollard-Des Ormeaux and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dollard-Des Ormeaux hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dollard-Des Ormeaux 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
13° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15° 2°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
13° 5°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
7° 1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° 0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
15° 4°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
15° 7°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
10° 5°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
16° 6°
±4°
Mon
Light rain
13° 8°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
12° 5°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
6° 2°
±3°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
7° 1°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
6° 2°
±4°

Dollard-Des Ormeaux, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1069 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Dollard-Des Ormeaux right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Dollard-Des Ormeaux climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-6°
-12°
Feb
-4°
-12°
Mar
1°
-7°
Apr
11°
1°
May
19°
9°
Jun
23°
15°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
24°
17°
Sep
20°
13°
Oct
12°
6°
Nov
6°
0°
Dec
-2°
-7°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dollard-Des Ormeaux has changed since 1995

Dollard-Des Ormeaux sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Montreal. That square ran 0.8°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Montreal page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dollard-Des Ormeaux?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
65±1.9°C96±1.9 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C95±2.5 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°12° to 16°±49%6% to 55% chance
Tue±1°6° to 8°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°7° to 8°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dollard-Des Ormeaux

today, local time
Sunrise
07:23
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dollard-Des Ormeaux today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Dollard-Des Ormeaux today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dollard-Des Ormeaux today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Dollard-Des Ormeaux on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dollard-Des Ormeaux?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dollard-Des Ormeaux (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dollard-Des Ormeaux?
July is typically the warmest month in Dollard-Des Ormeaux, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Dollard-Des Ormeaux get?
The coldest month in Dollard-Des Ormeaux is January, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Dollard-Des Ormeaux get?
Dollard-Des Ormeaux sees roughly 1069 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather