Skip to main content

Dartmouth weekend weather

This weekend in Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 23° across the weekend. Agreement is high — unusually solid for this far out.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Light drizzle
High 23°·Low 17°·Rain 29%
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Cloudy
High 23°·Low 17°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Fog
High 22°·Low 16°·Rain 17%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Partly cloudy
High 23°·Low 15°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Cloudy
High 24°·Low 16°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Cloudy
High 25°·Low 15°·Rain 6%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°18° to 22°±42%58% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±4°20° to 25°±41%35% to 76% chance
Sat±1°22° to 23°±12%17% to 29% chance
Sun±2°23° to 25°±1%6% to 7% chance
Mon±7°20° to 27°±14%45% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

More for Dartmouth