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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Confederation Park weather

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Light snow,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Confederation Park today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 1°, with a 1% chance of rain.

2°-1°
1°-5°
6°-5°
6°-1°
4°-1°
1°-2°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
0°
Overcast
Feels -8° · Wind 37 km/h · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
1°
Overcast
Feels -8° · Wind 38 km/h · Humidity 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
0°
Overcast
Feels -8° · Wind 38 km/h · Humidity 76%

Latest for Confederation Park: Env. Canada (GEM model): 0° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 1° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 0° Overcast.

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Confederation Park weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Confederation Park swings 41°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -17°C lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 389 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-17°C average low
Wettest month
June
389 mm a year
Below freezing
7 months
January, February, March, April, October, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
7,571
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Confederation Park and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Confederation Park hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Confederation Park 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light snow
2° -1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
1° -5°
models agree
Mon
Clear
6° -5°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
6° -1°
±5°
Wed
Heavy snow
4° -1°
models agree
Thu
Heavy snow
1° -2°
±4°
Fri
Snow
4° -2°
±10°
Sat
Snow
3° -2°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
3° -4°
±14°
Mon
Partly cloudy
6° -2°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
8° 1°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
8° 1°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
9° 1°
±6°

Confederation Park, Saskatchewan is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -17°C), with roughly 389 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Confederation Park right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Confederation Park climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-10°
-16°
Feb
-8°
-17°
Mar
-1°
-12°
Apr
10°
-2°
May
17°
5°
Jun
21°
10°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
23°
12°
Sep
18°
6°
Oct
9°
-1°
Nov
-1°
-8°
Dec
-7°
-15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Confederation Park has changed since 1995

Confederation Park sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Saskatoon. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Saskatoon page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Confederation Park?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.5 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
91
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C95±2.4 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C91±4.7 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°1° to 3°±62%38% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°1° to 2°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°5° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±5°4° to 9°±23%22% to 45% chance
Wed±2°3° to 5°±13%35% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Confederation Park

today, local time
Sunrise
07:48
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
10h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Confederation Park today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Confederation Park today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 1°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Confederation Park today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Confederation Park on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Confederation Park?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Confederation Park (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Confederation Park?
July is typically the warmest month in Confederation Park, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Confederation Park get?
The coldest month in Confederation Park is February, when overnight lows average about -17°C.
How much rain does Confederation Park get?
Confederation Park sees roughly 389 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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