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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Beausoleil weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Beausoleil today. Tomorrow: clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

10°1°
15°3°
14°6°
7°1°
6°-1°
11°0°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 62%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Mainly clear
Feels 1° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
3°
Mainly clear
Feels -1° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 72%

Latest for Beausoleil: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 3° Mainly clear.

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Beausoleil weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Beausoleil swings 38°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -13°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1279 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-13°C average low
Wettest month
October
1279 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, April and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
8,620
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Beausoleil and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Beausoleil hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Beausoleil 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
10° 1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
15° 3°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 6°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
7° 1°
±3°
Wed
Clear
6° -1°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
11° 0°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 6°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
8° 3°
±3°
Sun
Clear
10° 0°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
13° 6°
±9°
Tue
Drizzle
14° 8°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
14° 6°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 1°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 0°
±6°

Beausoleil, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -13°C), with roughly 1279 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Beausoleil right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Beausoleil climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-11°
Feb
-3°
-13°
Mar
1°
-7°
Apr
8°
-1°
May
15°
5°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
19°
10°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
0°
Dec
0°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Beausoleil's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C

Around Beausoleil, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2004: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2019: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.6°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

7 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4 vs the 30-year average1996: −6 vs the 30-year average1997: −4 vs the 30-year average1998: +4 vs the 30-year average1999: +10 vs the 30-year average2000: −9 vs the 30-year average2001: −0 vs the 30-year average2002: +1 vs the 30-year average2003: −7 vs the 30-year average2004: −7 vs the 30-year average2005: −0 vs the 30-year average2006: −8 vs the 30-year average2007: −4 vs the 30-year average2008: −7 vs the 30-year average2009: −4 vs the 30-year average2010: −2 vs the 30-year average2011: −9 vs the 30-year average2012: +1 vs the 30-year average2013: −1 vs the 30-year average2014: −0 vs the 30-year average2015: −2 vs the 30-year average2016: −6 vs the 30-year average2017: −4 vs the 30-year average2018: +17 vs the 30-year average2019: +2 vs the 30-year average2020: +11 vs the 30-year average2021: +6 vs the 30-year average2022: +7 vs the 30-year average2023: +7 vs the 30-year average2024: +18 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

3 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +17 vs the 30-year average1996: +0 vs the 30-year average1997: +18 vs the 30-year average1998: −8 vs the 30-year average1999: −12 vs the 30-year average2000: −8 vs the 30-year average2001: +1 vs the 30-year average2002: +9 vs the 30-year average2003: +3 vs the 30-year average2004: +8 vs the 30-year average2005: −2 vs the 30-year average2006: +3 vs the 30-year average2007: +5 vs the 30-year average2008: +1 vs the 30-year average2009: −6 vs the 30-year average2010: −24 vs the 30-year average2011: −7 vs the 30-year average2012: −11 vs the 30-year average2013: +11 vs the 30-year average2014: −2 vs the 30-year average2015: −1 vs the 30-year average2016: −2 vs the 30-year average2017: +7 vs the 30-year average2018: +14 vs the 30-year average2019: +11 vs the 30-year average2020: +10 vs the 30-year average2021: −13 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: −2 vs the 30-year average2024: −16 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: −1% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: +1% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +4% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: +4% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −7% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: −3% vs the 30-year average2009: −1% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: +1% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: +4% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: +1% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −7% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.6°C+4+17−1%
1996−0.6°C−6+0−1%
1997−1.3°C−4+18−1%
1998+0.3°C+4−8+1%
1999+0.9°C+10−12+4%
2000−0.3°C−9−8+4%
2001±0.0°C−0+1−3%
2002−0.6°C+1+9+1%
2003−0.7°C−7+3−1%
2004−1.0°C−7+8+4%
2005−0.3°C−0−2+1%
2006+0.2°C−8+3−7%
2007−0.7°C−4+5+1%
2008−0.4°C−7+1−3%
2009−0.5°C−4−6−1%
2010+1.3°C−2−24+1%
2011+0.3°C−9−7+1%
2012+1.0°C+1−11−3%
2013−0.1°C−1+11+1%
2014−0.2°C−0−2+1%
2015−0.9°C−2−1+1%
2016+0.2°C−6−2−1%
2017±0.0°C−4+7−1%
2018−0.4°C+17+14+4%
2019−0.8°C+2+11+1%
2020+0.5°C+11+10+1%
2021+1.2°C+6−13−1%
2022+0.8°C+7−6−1%
2023+0.8°C+7−2−7%
2024+1.6°C+18−16−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Beausoleil, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Beausoleil?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.6 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C93±3.3 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C95±2.3 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°9° to 10°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±5%13% to 18% chance
Tue±3°6° to 9°±3%2% to 5% chance
Wed±2°6° to 7°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Beausoleil

today, local time
Sunrise
07:48
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
10h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Beausoleil today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Beausoleil today. Tomorrow: clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Beausoleil today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Beausoleil on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Beausoleil?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Beausoleil (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Beausoleil?
July is typically the warmest month in Beausoleil, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Beausoleil get?
The coldest month in Beausoleil is February, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Beausoleil get?
Beausoleil sees roughly 1279 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Beausoleil getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Beausoleil, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather