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CheckWeather CA›Ambleside
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Ambleside weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Ambleside today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 96% chance of rain.

10°6°
13°8°
13°8°
10°8°
9°6°
8°5°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
6°
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 58%
EuropeanECMWF
7°
Overcast
Feels 5° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
7°
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 62%

Latest for Ambleside: Env. Canada (GEM model): 6° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 7° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 7° Overcast.

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Ambleside weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ambleside swings 22°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to 1°C lows in December, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2487 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
December
1°C average low
Wettest month
November
2487 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Ambleside and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ambleside hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ambleside 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
10° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13° 8°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
10° 8°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9° 6°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 5°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
7° 4°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
8° 4°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 5°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
11° 9°
±4°

Ambleside, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Dec (lows around 1°C), with roughly 2487 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Ambleside right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Ambleside climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
11°
5°
May
16°
9°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
23°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
5°
1°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ambleside has changed since 1995

Ambleside sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Burnaby. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Burnaby page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ambleside?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C96±2.2 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C91±4.7 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C90±4.8 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°9° to 11°±21%74% to 95% chance
Tomorrow±3°12° to 14°±32%64% to 96% chance
Mon±2°12° to 14°±41%11% to 52% chance
Tue±2°10° to 11°±45%36% to 81% chance
Wed±1°9° to 9°±12%55% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ambleside

today, local time
Sunrise
07:48
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
10h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ambleside today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Ambleside today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 96% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ambleside today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Ambleside on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 64% (Env. Canada 96%, European 94%, American 64%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 95%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ambleside?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Ambleside (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ambleside?
July is typically the warmest month in Ambleside, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Ambleside get?
The coldest month in Ambleside is December, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Ambleside get?
Ambleside sees roughly 2487 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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