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CheckWeather CAAmbleside
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Ambleside weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Ambleside today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 39% chance of rain.

17°11°
16°10°
20°10°
23°11°
16°10°
11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Overcast
Feels 14° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Partly cloudy
Feels 13° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 95%

Latest for Ambleside: Env. Canada (GEM model): 15° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 14° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Ambleside and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 10°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Thu
Showers
16° 10°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
11°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
12°
±2°
Sun
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Mon
Clear
17°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
12°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
13°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Sat
Clear
19°
models agree

Ambleside is a small town of about 6,173 people in Alberta, sitting at 53.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Ambleside with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include South Terwillegar, Terwillegar Towne, MacEwan.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ambleside?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C94±2.8 km/t5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C94±3.1 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C94±3.0 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±21%22% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±4°14° to 17°±8%31% to 39% chance
Tuemodels agree20° to 20°±11%5% to 16% chance
Wed±2°22° to 24°±36%5% to 41% chance
Thu±3°15° to 17°±30%19% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ambleside

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
20:12
Daylight
13h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ambleside today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Ambleside today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ambleside today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Ambleside and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ambleside?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ambleside (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather