Skip to main content
Every Canadian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CAAgincourt South-Malvern West
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Agincourt South-Malvern West weather

Loading live data…

Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Agincourt South-Malvern West's high today between 19° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 6% chance of rain.

21°15°
23°14°
22°15°
24°18°
23°17°
21°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 16°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Agincourt South-Malvern West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
21° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 14°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
22° 15°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 18°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 17°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Sat
Showers
23° 15°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
23° 15°
±10°
Mon
Clear
18° 12°
±4°
Tue
Clear
19° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 13°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
18° 15°
models agree

Agincourt South-Malvern West, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 992 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Agincourt South-Malvern West right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Agincourt South-Malvern West climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-2°
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
23°
15°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
22°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Agincourt South-Malvern West?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C98±0.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #2
71±1.6°C97±1.7 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C94±2.9 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 23°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±3°22° to 24°±1%5% to 6% chance
Wed±5°21° to 26°±4%58% to 62% chance
Thu±3°22° to 25°±6%13% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Agincourt South-Malvern West

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Agincourt South-Malvern West today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Agincourt South-Malvern West today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Agincourt South-Malvern West today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Agincourt South-Malvern West and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Agincourt South-Malvern West?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Agincourt South-Malvern West (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Agincourt South-Malvern West?
July is typically the warmest month in Agincourt South-Malvern West, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Agincourt South-Malvern West get?
The coldest month in Agincourt South-Malvern West is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Agincourt South-Malvern West get?
Agincourt South-Malvern West sees roughly 992 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather