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CheckWeather AUWolli Creek
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Wolli Creek weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Wolli Creek today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 65% chance of rain.

23°14°
23°12°
18°12°
18°10°
17°10°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Clear
Feels 18° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 51%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Mainly clear
Feels 18° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 57%

Latest for Wolli Creek: European (ECMWF): 20° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 18° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Wolli Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
21° 11°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
26° 11°
models agree
Mon
Clear
30° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 15°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
19° 11°
±5°
Fri
Clear
27° 10°
±6°
Sat
Clear
28° 15°
±2°

Wolli Creek, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 897 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Wolli Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Wolli Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
27°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
10°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
20°
Sep
23°
10°
Oct
23°
13°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
27°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wolli Creek?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C94±2.8 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C90±4.8 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±25%40% to 65% chance
Tue±1°18° to 18°±24%14% to 38% chance
Wed±2°17° to 19°±38%3% to 41% chance
Thu±2°16° to 18°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wolli Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
06:08
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wolli Creek today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Wolli Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wolli Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Wolli Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wolli Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wolli Creek (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wolli Creek?
February is typically the warmest month in Wolli Creek, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Wolli Creek get?
The coldest month in Wolli Creek is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Wolli Creek get?
Wolli Creek sees roughly 897 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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