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CheckWeather AUCanterbury
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Canterbury weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Canterbury today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 29% chance of rain.

23°12°
18°12°
19°10°
17°
20°11°
23°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°Saturdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Partly cloudy
Feels 16° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 45%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 15° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 45%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Partly cloudy
Feels 15° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 54%

Latest for Canterbury: European (ECMWF): 19° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Partly cloudy · German (DWD ICON): 17° Partly cloudy.

Canterbury weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Canterbury swings 19°C across the year, from 27°C highs in February to 8°C lows in June, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 897 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
27°C average high
Coldest month
June
8°C average low
Wettest month
April
897 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, May and June
Residents
7,200
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Canterbury and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 10°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 11°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
23° 10°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
26° 12°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
29° 12°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 14°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 13°
±8°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
19° 10°
±13°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
21° 13°
±4°

Canterbury, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 897 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Canterbury right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Canterbury climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
27°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
10°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
20°
Sep
23°
10°
Oct
23°
13°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
27°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Canterbury?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C94±2.8 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C90±4.8 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°±13%55% to 68% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 18°±24%5% to 29% chance
Wed±3°18° to 21°±29%0% to 29% chance
Thu±2°16° to 18°±20%0% to 20% chance
Fri±3°19° to 21°±35%0% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canterbury

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
11h 35m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canterbury today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Canterbury today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Canterbury today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Canterbury and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canterbury?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canterbury (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canterbury?
February is typically the warmest month in Canterbury, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Canterbury get?
The coldest month in Canterbury is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Canterbury get?
Canterbury sees roughly 897 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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