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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUWaikiki
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Waikiki weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Waikiki today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 21°, with a 0% chance of rain.

18°12°
21°10°
20°12°
20°11°
22°12°
22°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 86%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Showers
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 75%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Waikiki and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
21° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
18° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree

Waikiki is a small town of about 12,000 people in Western Australia, sitting at 32.3°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Waikiki with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Safety Bay, Warnbro, Cooloongup.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Waikiki?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C93±3.3 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C86±7.0 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C97±1.5 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree18° to 18°±17%75% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°20° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±1°22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waikiki

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waikiki today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Waikiki today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waikiki today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Waikiki and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waikiki?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Waikiki (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather