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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Baldivis weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Baldivis's high today between 15° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 17°, with a 88% chance of rain.

16°7°
17°6°
20°8°
24°10°
25°12°
25°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Clear
Feels 7° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Clear
Feels 6° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 54%
GermanDWD ICON
10°
Clear
Feels 7° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 63%

Latest for Baldivis: European (ECMWF): 12° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 10° Clear.

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Baldivis weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Baldivis swings 23°C across the year, from 32°C highs in February to 9°C lows in June, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 839 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
32°C average high
Coldest month
June
9°C average low
Wettest month
July
839 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and August
Residents
38,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Baldivis and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Baldivis hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Baldivis 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 7°
±3°
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
17° 6°
±2°
Mon
Drizzle
20° 8°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
24° 10°
models agree
Wed
Clear
25° 12°
±4°
Thu
Clear
25° 14°
±2°
Fri
Mostly clear
23° 13°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree

Baldivis, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 839 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Baldivis right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Baldivis climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
17°
Feb
32°
18°
Mar
30°
17°
Apr
25°
14°
May
22°
12°
Jun
17°
9°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
17°
9°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
23°
11°
Nov
26°
13°
Dec
29°
15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Baldivis has changed since 1995

Baldivis sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Mandurah. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Mandurah page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Baldivis?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C94±2.9 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C97±1.7 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
67±1.9°C86±7.1 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 18°±55%45% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°±80%8% to 88% chance
Mon±6°17° to 23°±87%10% to 97% chance
Tue±2°23° to 25°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±4°23° to 27°±28%0% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Baldivis

today, local time
Sunrise
05:26
Sunset
18:35
Daylight
13h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Baldivis today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Baldivis's high today between 15° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 17°, with a 88% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Baldivis today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Baldivis on Sunday 25 October: European 88%, American 10%, German 8%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Baldivis?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Baldivis (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Baldivis?
February is typically the warmest month in Baldivis, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Baldivis get?
The coldest month in Baldivis is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Baldivis get?
Baldivis sees roughly 839 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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