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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Mandurah weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Mandurah today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 20°, with a 0% chance of rain.

18°11°
20°10°
20°11°
20°11°
22°12°
21°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 81%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Showers
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mandurah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
20° 10°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±2°
Sat
Drizzle
18° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree

Mandurah, Western Australia. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Mandurah right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Mandurah's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mandurah weather by month

what to expect in Mandurah through the year

Here is Mandurah's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Mandurah by season.

Jan
29°
18°
Hot
Feb
31°
19°
Hot
Mar
28°
17°
Warm
Apr
24°
14°
Warm
May
21°
13°
Mild
Jun
17°
11°
Mild
Jul
17°
11°
Mild
Wettest
Aug
18°
11°
Mild
Sep
19°
12°
Mild
Oct
22°
13°
Warm
Nov
26°
16°
Warm
Dec
28°
18°
Warm

What Mandurah's weather is like through the year

Mandurah runs from warm summers, with February highs near 31°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 11°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Mandurah sees roughly 602 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Mandurah

The most comfortable time to visit Mandurah is usually April, May, June and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mandurah?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C88±5.9 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
87
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C93±3.5 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
82
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C97±1.4 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for Mandurah, scoring 87/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 87. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree18° to 18°±37%55% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tuemodels agree20° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±1°22° to 22°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mandurah

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mandurah today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mandurah today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mandurah today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mandurah and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mandurah?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Mandurah (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mandurah?
February is typically the warmest month in Mandurah, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Mandurah get?
The coldest month in Mandurah is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Mandurah get?
Mandurah sees roughly 602 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Mandurah?
The most comfortable time to visit Mandurah is usually April, May, June and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Mandurah?
Rarely - Mandurah very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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