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CheckWeather AUMandurah city centre
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Mandurah city centre weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Mandurah city centre today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 20°, with a 0% chance of rain.

18°11°
20°10°
20°11°
20°11°
22°12°
21°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 81%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Showers
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mandurah city centre and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
20° 10°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±2°
Sat
Drizzle
18° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree

Mandurah city centre, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 602 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mandurah city centre right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mandurah city centre climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
18°
Feb
31°
19°
Mar
28°
17°
Apr
24°
14°
May
21°
13°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
18°
11°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
22°
13°
Nov
26°
16°
Dec
28°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mandurah city centre?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C88±6.1 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
86
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C93±3.4 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
82
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C97±1.4 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree18° to 18°±37%55% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tuemodels agree20° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±1°22° to 22°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mandurah city centre

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mandurah city centre today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mandurah city centre today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mandurah city centre today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mandurah city centre and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mandurah city centre?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Mandurah city centre (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mandurah city centre?
February is typically the warmest month in Mandurah city centre, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Mandurah city centre get?
The coldest month in Mandurah city centre is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Mandurah city centre get?
Mandurah city centre sees roughly 602 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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