Townsville weather
Loading live data…Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Townsville's high today between 24° and 28°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 27°, with a 3% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Townsville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitTownsville, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Townsville right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Townsville's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Townsville weather by month
what to expect in Townsville through the yearHere is Townsville's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Townsville by season.
What Townsville's weather is like through the year
Townsville runs from warm summers, with January highs near 30°C, to cool winters, when July lows sit around 15°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and Townsville sees roughly 1491 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Townsville
The most comfortable time to visit Townsville is usually June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Townsville?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Townsville, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 89. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.