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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Kirwan weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Kirwan's high today between 26° and 29°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 28°, with a 78% chance of rain.

27°23°
28°24°
29°23°
30°23°
30°24°
30°25°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
26°
Drizzle
Today 26°·Low 23°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
29°
Light drizzle
Today 29°·Low 23°·Rain 97%
GermanDWD ICON
27°
Thunderstorm
Today 27°·Low 24°·Rain 100%
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Kirwan weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kirwan swings 16°C across the year, from 30°C highs in January to 14°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1077 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
14°C average low
Wettest month
February
1077 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
21,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kirwan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kirwan hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kirwan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
27° 23°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
28° 24°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
29° 23°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
30° 23°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
30° 24°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
30° 25°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
29° 24°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
29° 24°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
30° 23°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 23°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
29° 24°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
29° 24°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
29° 23°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
30° 23°
models agree

Kirwan, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 14°C), with roughly 1077 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kirwan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Kirwan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
24°
Feb
30°
24°
Mar
29°
22°
Apr
27°
20°
May
27°
18°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
25°
14°
Sep
26°
17°
Oct
28°
21°
Nov
30°
23°
Dec
30°
24°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kirwan has changed since 1995

Kirwan sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Townsville. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Townsville page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kirwan?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C96±2.0 km/h7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C90±4.9 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C96±2.1 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°26° to 29°±3%97% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°27° to 29°±46%32% to 78% chance
Mon±3°28° to 30°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±3°29° to 31°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±3°29° to 31°±47%5% to 52% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kirwan

today, local time
Sunrise
05:37
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
12h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kirwan today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Kirwan's high today between 26° and 29°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 28°, with a 78% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kirwan today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Kirwan on Sunday 25 October: European 78%, American 32%, German 35%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kirwan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kirwan (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kirwan?
January is typically the warmest month in Kirwan, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Kirwan get?
The coldest month in Kirwan is June, when overnight lows average about 14°C.
How much rain does Kirwan get?
Kirwan sees roughly 1077 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather