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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUDouglas
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Douglas weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Douglas's high today between 24° and 29°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 27°, with a 3% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

26°16°
27°16°
27°17°
26°21°
26°19°
26°17°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Mostly clear
Today 24°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Fog
Today 29°·Low 15°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Douglas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
26° 16°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
27° 16°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
27° 17°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 21°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 19°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 17°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
25° 17°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
25° 16°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
25° 16°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
25° 17°
models agree
Wed
Clear
26° 17°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
27° 17°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
26° 18°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
25° 16°
models agree

Douglas is a small town of about 8,522 people in Queensland, sitting at 19.3°S in a tropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Douglas with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Cranbrook, Kirwan, Condon.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Douglas?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C92±3.9 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C96±2.0 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #3
74±1.5°C95±2.5 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°24° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°25° to 30°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±5°25° to 30°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±3°25° to 28°±49%0% to 49% chance
Thu±4°24° to 28°±21%0% to 21% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Douglas

today, local time
Sunrise
06:17
Sunset
18:05
Daylight
11h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Douglas today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Douglas today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Douglas today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Douglas and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Douglas?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Douglas (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather