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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUToronto

Toronto weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Toronto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Toronto, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 893 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Toronto right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Toronto climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
20°
Feb
27°
20°
Mar
26°
19°
Apr
22°
15°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
Aug
19°
11°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
23°
14°
Nov
24°
18°
Dec
26°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Toronto?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
80±1.1°C95±2.7 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C95±2.4 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
73
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C92±3.9 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Toronto today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Toronto today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Toronto today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Toronto and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Toronto?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Toronto (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Toronto?
February is typically the warmest month in Toronto, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Toronto get?
The coldest month in Toronto is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Toronto get?
Toronto sees roughly 893 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather