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CheckWeather AUThornton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Thornton weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Thornton today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 23°, with a 81% chance of rain.

23°13°
23°12°
19°10°
21°
17°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain 1%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Thornton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
23° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
21°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
26°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
28° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
±6°
Fri
Clear
25°
±5°
Sat
Clear
30° 13°
models agree

Thornton, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 775 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Thornton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Thornton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
19°
Feb
29°
19°
Mar
28°
18°
Apr
23°
14°
May
20°
10°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
20°
Sep
24°
11°
Oct
25°
13°
Nov
27°
17°
Dec
30°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Thornton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.1 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
89
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C94±2.9 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±24%57% to 81% chance
Tuemodels agree18° to 19°±35%50% to 85% chance
Wed±3°19° to 22°±59%6% to 65% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±47%10% to 57% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Thornton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
17:38
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Thornton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Thornton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Thornton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Thornton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Thornton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Thornton (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Thornton?
December is typically the warmest month in Thornton, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Thornton get?
The coldest month in Thornton is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Thornton get?
Thornton sees roughly 775 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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