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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Maitland weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 30° in Maitland today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 32°, with a 77% chance of rain.

30°15°
32°17°
23°16°
24°15°
25°12°
27°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Clear
Feels 22° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 94%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Mainly clear
Feels 22° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for Maitland: European (ECMWF): 19° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 20° Mainly clear.

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Maitland weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Maitland swings 22°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 7°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 835 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
February
835 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
90,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Maitland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Maitland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Maitland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
30° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
32° 17°
±3°
Mon
Showers
23° 16°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
24° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 12°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
27° 11°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 13°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
28° 17°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 14°
±2°
Wed
Drizzle
29° 14°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
25° 14°
±7°

Maitland, New South Wales. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Maitland right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Maitland's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Maitland weather by month

what to expect in Maitland through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Maitland's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Maitland by season.

Jan
29°
19°
Hot
Feb
29°
18°
Hot
Wettest
Mar
27°
16°
Warm
Apr
23°
14°
Warm
May
21°
11°
Mild
Jun
18°
8°
Mild
Jul
17°
7°
Mild
Aug
18°
7°
Mild
Sep
22°
9°
Warm
Oct
24°
12°
Warm
Nov
25°
15°
Warm
Dec
28°
16°
Warm

What Maitland's weather is like through the year

Maitland runs from warm summers, with January highs near 29°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 22°C across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and Maitland sees roughly 835 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Maitland

The most comfortable time to visit Maitland is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.

How Maitland's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Maitland, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1997: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2008: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2013: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2019: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2021: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2022: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

5 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −15 vs the 30-year average1996: −17 vs the 30-year average1997: +2 vs the 30-year average1998: +6 vs the 30-year average1999: −7 vs the 30-year average2000: −2 vs the 30-year average2001: +5 vs the 30-year average2002: +1 vs the 30-year average2003: −1 vs the 30-year average2004: +9 vs the 30-year average2005: +4 vs the 30-year average2006: +9 vs the 30-year average2007: −7 vs the 30-year average2008: −19 vs the 30-year average2009: +17 vs the 30-year average2010: −12 vs the 30-year average2011: −3 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: −5 vs the 30-year average2014: +9 vs the 30-year average2015: −8 vs the 30-year average2016: −1 vs the 30-year average2017: +16 vs the 30-year average2018: +16 vs the 30-year average2019: +28 vs the 30-year average2020: +2 vs the 30-year average2021: −18 vs the 30-year average2022: −22 vs the 30-year average2023: +6 vs the 30-year average2024: +11 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4% vs the 30-year average1996: +4% vs the 30-year average1997: −4% vs the 30-year average1998: −4% vs the 30-year average1999: −4% vs the 30-year average2000: −0% vs the 30-year average2001: −0% vs the 30-year average2002: +4% vs the 30-year average2003: +4% vs the 30-year average2004: +4% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: −0% vs the 30-year average2007: −0% vs the 30-year average2008: −0% vs the 30-year average2009: +8% vs the 30-year average2010: −0% vs the 30-year average2011: −0% vs the 30-year average2012: −4% vs the 30-year average2013: −0% vs the 30-year average2014: −4% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: +4% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −0% vs the 30-year average2019: −0% vs the 30-year average2020: −0% vs the 30-year average2021: −0% vs the 30-year average2022: −0% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.1°C−15+4%
1996−0.9°C−17+4%
1997±0.0°C+2−4%
1998+0.1°C+6−4%
1999−0.6°C−7−4%
2000−0.5°C−2−0%
2001−0.2°C+5−0%
2002+0.3°C+1+4%
2003−0.1°C−1+4%
2004+0.3°C+9+4%
2005+0.4°C+4−0%
2006+0.3°C+9−0%
2007−0.2°C−7−0%
2008−1.0°C−19−0%
2009+0.6°C+17+8%
2010−0.2°C−12−0%
2011−0.7°C−3−0%
2012−0.4°C−5−4%
2013±0.0°C−5−0%
2014+0.4°C+9−4%
2015−0.2°C−8−4%
2016+0.6°C−1+4%
2017+0.9°C+16−0%
2018+0.7°C+16−0%
2019+1.4°C+28−0%
2020−0.2°C+2−0%
2021−1.1°C−18−0%
2022−1.3°C−22−0%
2023+0.9°C+6−4%
2024+1.0°C+11−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Maitland, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Maitland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±2.0 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
70±1.7°C95±2.7 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
74
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C93±3.3 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Maitland, scoring 93/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 78. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°29° to 31°±31%0% to 31% chance
Tomorrow±3°31° to 34°±52%25% to 77% chance
Mon±5°21° to 26°±16%78% to 94% chance
Tue±1°24° to 25°±16%26% to 42% chance
Wed±2°24° to 26°±27%6% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Maitland

today, local time
Sunrise
06:03
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
13h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Maitland today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 30° in Maitland today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 32°, with a 77% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Maitland today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Maitland on Sunday 25 October: European 75%, American 77%, German 25%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 31%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Maitland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Maitland (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Maitland?
January is typically the warmest month in Maitland, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Maitland get?
The coldest month in Maitland is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Maitland get?
Maitland sees roughly 835 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Maitland?
The most comfortable time to visit Maitland is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Maitland?
Rarely - Maitland very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Maitland getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Maitland, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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