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CheckWeather AUSpringvale South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Springvale South weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Springvale South today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 92% chance of rain.

17°11°
14°
14°
13°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 10° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 67%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Partly cloudy
Feels 10° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 78%

Latest for Springvale South: European (ECMWF): 13° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 13° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Springvale South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
22° 12°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±10°

Springvale South is a small town of about 13,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 38.0°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Springvale South with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Noble Park, Springvale, Dingley Village.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Springvale South?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.6 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C94±2.8 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C92±3.9 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 17°±50%48% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±57%35% to 92% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±1°12° to 14°±10%63% to 73% chance
Thu±1°14° to 14°±10%2% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springvale South

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springvale South today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Springvale South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springvale South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Springvale South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springvale South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springvale South (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather