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CheckWeather AUKeysborough
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Keysborough weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Keysborough today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

14°
15°
13°
15°
18°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°Saturdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 49%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Mainly clear
Feels 13° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 60%

Latest for Keysborough: European (ECMWF): 14° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Mainly clear.

Keysborough weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Keysborough swings 18°C across the year, from 25°C highs in January to 7°C lows in June, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 815 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
25°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
April
815 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and May
Residents
30,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Keysborough and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
21°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
15°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
17°
±2°
Sun
Mostly clear
20° 10°
±2°

Keysborough, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 815 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Keysborough right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Keysborough climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
19°
11°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
10°
Nov
22°
13°
Dec
24°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Keysborough?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.7 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C94±3.2 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±2.8 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±58%42% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree13° to 13°±31%65% to 96% chance
Thu±1°14° to 15°±3%3% to 6% chance
Fri±3°17° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Keysborough

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Keysborough today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Keysborough today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Keysborough today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Keysborough and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Keysborough?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Keysborough (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Keysborough?
January is typically the warmest month in Keysborough, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Keysborough get?
The coldest month in Keysborough is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Keysborough get?
Keysborough sees roughly 815 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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