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CheckWeather AUSpringvale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Springvale weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Springvale today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 92% chance of rain.

17°11°
14°
14°
13°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 75%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 48%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Springvale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
22° 11°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
18° 11°
±2°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
±10°

Springvale is a small town of about 22,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.9°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Springvale with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Springvale South, Noble Park, Mulgrave.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Springvale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.7 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C92±4.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
81
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C92±4.0 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±50%48% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±57%35% to 92% chance
Tue±2°13° to 16°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±10%63% to 73% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±10%2% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springvale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springvale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Springvale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springvale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Springvale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springvale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springvale (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather