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CheckWeather AUSebastopol
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Sebastopol weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Sebastopol's high today between 13° and 15°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 12°, with a 36% chance of rain.

14°
12°
14°
10°
13°
17°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Sebastopol and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
17°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
15°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
17°
±8°

Sebastopol is a small town of about 9,890 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.6°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Sebastopol with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Delacombe, Ballarat, Ballarat Central.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sebastopol?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.6 km/t5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C97±1.6 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C85±7.4 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 15°±73%3% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±3°11° to 13°±28%8% to 36% chance
Tue±3°12° to 15°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°10° to 11°±36%9% to 45% chance
Thu±2°13° to 14°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sebastopol

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:07
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sebastopol today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Sebastopol today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sebastopol today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Sebastopol and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sebastopol?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sebastopol (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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