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CheckWeather AU›Sebastopol
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Sebastopol weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Sebastopol's high today between 19° and 23°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

20°13°
16°5°
12°4°
14°4°
15°4°
19°7°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Rain
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Showers
Today 19°·Low 13°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Showers
Today 20°·Low 14°·Rain 85%
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Sebastopol weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sebastopol swings 21°C across the year, from 24°C highs in January to 3°C lows in July, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 694 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
24°C average high
Coldest month
July
3°C average low
Wettest month
August
694 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
9,890
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Sebastopol and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sebastopol hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sebastopol 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
20° 13°
±4°
Tomorrow
Rain
16° 5°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14° 4°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
15° 4°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 7°
±6°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
15° 10°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
19° 9°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
14° 5°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
17° 3°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
17° 8°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19° 7°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 9°
±4°

Sebastopol, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 694 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Sebastopol right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Sebastopol climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
24°
12°
Feb
24°
11°
Mar
21°
10°
Apr
16°
8°
May
13°
6°
Jun
10°
5°
Jul
9°
3°
Aug
11°
3°
Sep
13°
4°
Oct
16°
5°
Nov
19°
7°
Dec
22°
9°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Sebastopol has changed since 1995

Sebastopol sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ballarat. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Ballarat page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sebastopol?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.8 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C95±2.5 km/h8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
63±2.0°C85±7.3 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°19° to 23°±15%85% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±4°15° to 18°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±2°11° to 13°±19%18% to 37% chance
Tue±3°12° to 15°±34%12% to 46% chance
Wed±4°13° to 17°±39%0% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sebastopol

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
13h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sebastopol today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Sebastopol's high today between 19° and 23°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sebastopol today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Sebastopol on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sebastopol?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sebastopol (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sebastopol?
January is typically the warmest month in Sebastopol, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Sebastopol get?
The coldest month in Sebastopol is July, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Sebastopol get?
Sebastopol sees roughly 694 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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