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CheckWeather AUScarborough
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Scarborough weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Scarborough today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 62% chance of rain.

23°15°
23°15°
22°13°
20°15°
21°13°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 54%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Light drizzle
Feels 19° · Wind 23 km/h · Humidity 57%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 54%

Latest for Scarborough: European (ECMWF): 22° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 23° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Scarborough and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
23° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Mon
Clear
22° 13°
models agree
Tue
Clear
23° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
19° 13°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
27° 12°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
26° 16°
models agree

Scarborough is a small town of about 8,605 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.2°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Scarborough with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Kippa-Ring, Margate, Rothwell.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Scarborough?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C95±2.3 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
76
/100rank #2
94±0.4°C95±2.4 km/t4268% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
70
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C94±2.9 km/t3665% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree23° to 23°±57%5% to 62% chance
Wed±1°22° to 23°±9%0% to 9% chance
Thu±2°19° to 21°±29%8% to 37% chance
Fri±1°21° to 21°±60%3% to 63% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Scarborough

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:37
Daylight
11h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Scarborough today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Scarborough today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Scarborough today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Scarborough and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Scarborough?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Scarborough (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the European at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather