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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUNorth Lakes
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

North Lakes weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put North Lakes's high today between 31° and 34°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.

33°17°
23°15°
23°15°
22°13°
21°16°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Mainly clear
Feels 22° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 61%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 55%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Partly cloudy
Feels 22° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 54%

Latest for North Lakes: European (ECMWF): 22° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 22° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around North Lakes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
33° 17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
23° 13°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
25° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
25° 14°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
25° 12°
±4°

North Lakes is a small town of about 21,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.2°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast North Lakes with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Mango Hill, Rothwell, Deception Bay.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in North Lakes?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.5 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C93±3.4 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°31° to 34°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±2°22° to 24°±47%10% to 57% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±16%1% to 17% chance
Thu±1°21° to 22°±38%5% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in North Lakes

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:36
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in North Lakes today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for North Lakes today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in North Lakes today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for North Lakes and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for North Lakes?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for North Lakes (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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