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CheckWeather AUMurrumba Downs
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Murrumba Downs weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Murrumba Downs's high today between 31° and 34°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.

33°17°
23°15°
23°15°
22°13°
21°15°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
31°
Cloudy
Today 31°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 16°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
34°
Fog
Today 34°·Low 18°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Murrumba Downs and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
33° 17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
25° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
25° 14°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
25° 12°
±4°

Murrumba Downs, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 1209 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Murrumba Downs right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Murrumba Downs climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
22°
Feb
29°
21°
Mar
28°
21°
Apr
26°
17°
May
23°
14°
Jun
22°
11°
Jul
21°
11°
Aug
24°
13°
Sep
25°
14°
Oct
26°
17°
Nov
27°
19°
Dec
29°
21°

Which forecast is most accurate in Murrumba Downs?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.8 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C97±1.6 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C93±3.5 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°31° to 34°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±2°22° to 23°±47%10% to 57% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±16%1% to 17% chance
Thu±1°20° to 21°±38%5% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Murrumba Downs

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:36
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Murrumba Downs today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Murrumba Downs today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Murrumba Downs today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Murrumba Downs and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Murrumba Downs?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Murrumba Downs (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Murrumba Downs?
January is typically the warmest month in Murrumba Downs, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Murrumba Downs get?
The coldest month in Murrumba Downs is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Murrumba Downs get?
Murrumba Downs sees roughly 1209 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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