Nelson Bay weather
Loading live data…Latest for Nelson Bay: European (ECMWF): 20° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 21° Partly cloudy.
Nelson Bay weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsNelson Bay swings 19°C across the year, from 27°C highs in January to 8°C lows in July, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1371 mm of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Nelson Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Nelson Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Nelson Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitNelson Bay, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 8°C), with roughly 1371 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Nelson Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Nelson Bay climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Nelson Bay has changed since 1995
Nelson Bay sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Medowie. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Medowie page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Nelson Bay?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happenedThe CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.