Skip to main content
Every Australian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUNelson Bay

Nelson Bay weather

Loading live data…

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Nelson Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Nelson Bay, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 863 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Nelson Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Nelson Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
20°
Feb
28°
20°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
22°
15°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
20°
10°
Sep
23°
11°
Oct
24°
14°
Nov
25°
17°
Dec
28°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Nelson Bay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±1.3 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.7 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C95±2.4 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Nelson Bay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Nelson Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Nelson Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Nelson Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Nelson Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Nelson Bay (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Nelson Bay?
February is typically the warmest month in Nelson Bay, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Nelson Bay get?
The coldest month in Nelson Bay is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Nelson Bay get?
Nelson Bay sees roughly 863 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather