Narre Warren South weather
Loading live data…Showers,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 21° in Narre Warren South today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain.
Narre Warren South weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsNarre Warren South swings 20°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 6°C lows in August, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 782 mm of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Narre Warren South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Narre Warren South hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Narre Warren South 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitNarre Warren South, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 6°C), with roughly 782 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Narre Warren South right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Narre Warren South climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Narre Warren South has changed since 1995
Narre Warren South sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Melbourne. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Melbourne page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Narre Warren South?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happenedThe CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.