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CheckWeather AUNarre Warren
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Narre Warren weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Narre Warren today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 92% chance of rain.

17°11°
14°
15°
13°
14°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 75%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 12°·Rain 48%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Narre Warren and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
22°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
22° 11°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±11°

Narre Warren, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 913 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Narre Warren right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Narre Warren climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
12°
Dec
24°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Narre Warren?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C98±0.8 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C95±2.4 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±50%48% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 14°±57%35% to 92% chance
Tue±2°14° to 15°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±10%63% to 73% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±10%2% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Narre Warren

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Narre Warren today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Narre Warren today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Narre Warren today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Narre Warren and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Narre Warren?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Narre Warren (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Narre Warren?
January is typically the warmest month in Narre Warren, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Narre Warren get?
The coldest month in Narre Warren is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Narre Warren get?
Narre Warren sees roughly 913 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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