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CheckWeather AUMoss Vale
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Moss Vale weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Moss Vale's high today between 15° and 19°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 16°, with a 76% chance of rain.

17°
16°
15°
12°
14°
18°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Mostly clear
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Moss Vale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Thu
Clear
14°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
23°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19°
±6°
Wed
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Clear
15°
±7°
Fri
Clear
19°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
23° 10°
models agree

Moss Vale is a small town of about 8,430 people in New South Wales, sitting at 34.6°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Moss Vale with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Bowral, Mittagong, Albion Park.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Moss Vale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C95±2.5 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C91±4.4 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
71
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C93±3.5 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°15° to 19°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±4°14° to 18°±26%50% to 76% chance
Tue±5°12° to 18°±28%7% to 35% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±35%13% to 48% chance
Thu±3°12° to 15°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Moss Vale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:11
Sunset
17:43
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Moss Vale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Moss Vale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Moss Vale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Moss Vale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moss Vale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moss Vale (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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