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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUHorsley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Horsley weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Horsley today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 22°, with a 89% chance of rain.

22°12°
22°10°
17°
16°
17°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Feels 21° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 42%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Clear
Feels 23° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 32%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Partly cloudy
Feels 19° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 47%

Latest for Horsley: European (ECMWF): 22° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 24° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 20° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Horsley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
27°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 12°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
21°
±9°
Thu
Clear
19°
±6°
Fri
Clear
25°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
28° 14°
models agree

Horsley, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 1186 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Horsley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Horsley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
17°
Feb
27°
18°
Mar
26°
16°
Apr
22°
12°
May
19°
10°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
Aug
20°
Sep
23°
10°
Oct
24°
11°
Nov
25°
15°
Dec
28°
17°

Which forecast is most accurate in Horsley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C98±1.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C94±2.8 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 23°±19%70% to 89% chance
Tue±1°17° to 17°±28%5% to 33% chance
Wed±3°15° to 18°±34%5% to 39% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±5%0% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Horsley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Horsley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Horsley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Horsley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Horsley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Horsley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Horsley (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Horsley?
December is typically the warmest month in Horsley, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Horsley get?
The coldest month in Horsley is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Horsley get?
Horsley sees roughly 1186 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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