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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Dapto weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 27° in Dapto today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 33°, with a 94% chance of rain.

27°15°
33°18°
21°12°
21°10°
24°9°
23°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Clear
Feels 18° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 86%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Mainly clear
Feels 21° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 86%

Latest for Dapto: European (ECMWF): 18° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 20° Mainly clear.

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Dapto weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dapto swings 20°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 6°C lows in August, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1079 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
August
6°C average low
Wettest month
February
1079 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Dapto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dapto hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dapto 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
27° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
33° 18°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 9°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
23° 13°
±8°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
28° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
30° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 13°
±5°

Dapto, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1079 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Dapto right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Dapto climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
26°
18°
Mar
23°
15°
Apr
22°
13°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
8°
Jul
16°
7°
Aug
17°
6°
Sep
20°
8°
Oct
21°
10°
Nov
23°
15°
Dec
24°
15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dapto has changed since 1995

Dapto sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Wollongong. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Wollongong page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dapto?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
72±1.6°C91±4.4 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
72±1.5°C93±3.7 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
63±2.0°C93±3.4 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°26° to 28°±86%8% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±3°32° to 35°±31%63% to 94% chance
Mon±3°19° to 22°±29%56% to 85% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±31%26% to 57% chance
Wed±5°21° to 26°±38%6% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dapto

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dapto today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 27° in Dapto today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 33°, with a 94% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dapto today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Dapto on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 63% (European 75%, American 94%, German 63%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 94%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dapto?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dapto (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dapto?
January is typically the warmest month in Dapto, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Dapto get?
The coldest month in Dapto is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Dapto get?
Dapto sees roughly 1079 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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