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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUDapto
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Dapto weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Dapto today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 22°, with a 89% chance of rain.

22°12°
22°10°
17°
16°
17°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Dapto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
27°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 12°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
21°
±9°
Thu
Clear
19°
±5°
Fri
Clear
25°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
28° 14°
models agree

Dapto is a small town of about 11,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 34.5°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Dapto with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Kanahooka, Horsley, Berkeley.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dapto?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C95±2.7 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C95±2.5 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C94±3.1 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 23°±19%70% to 89% chance
Tue±1°17° to 17°±28%5% to 33% chance
Wed±3°15° to 18°±34%5% to 39% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±5%0% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dapto

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dapto today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Dapto today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dapto today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Dapto and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dapto?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dapto (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather